The Contribution of Population Health and Demographic Change to Economic Growth in China and India.

نویسندگان

  • David E Bloom
  • David Canning
  • Linlin Hu
  • Yuanli Liu
  • Ajay Mahal
  • Winnie Yip
چکیده

We find that a cross-country model of economic growth successfully tracks the growth takeoffs in China and India. The major drivers of the predicted takeoffs are improved health, increased openness to trade, and a rising labor force-to-population ratio due to fertility decline. We also explore the effect of the reallocation of labor from low-productivity agriculture to the higher-productivity industry and service sectors. Including the money value of longevity improvements in a measure of full income reduces the gap between the magnitude of China's takeoff relative to India's due to the relative stagnation in life expectancy in China since 1980.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Journal of comparative economics

دوره 38 1  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010